Israel / Palestine

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briantrumpet

Timewaster
All very unfortunate.

Rather the understatement for everything to do with Israel at the moment. Nothing can even start to improve till Netanyahu has gone.
 

briantrumpet

Timewaster
I guess it would be a start, if this is the case eventually.

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briantrumpet

Timewaster
Another take:

Yair WallachOctober 27, 2026 at 9:20 PM GMT
A few comments on Israel's exit polls. 1. The current government has been defeated, falling from 68 seats to 50. They lost about a quarter of their seats. They have no route to form a similar government. 2. The anti-Netanyahu opposition has 70 seats out of 120 - its highest ever result. This solid anti-Netanyahu block is the largest ever (compare to Rabin's government or Bennet's). 3. However, in Israel's current racist atmosphere, the "centrist" opposition parties are averse to forming a coalition or a "confidence and supply" agreement with the "Arab parties".

4. The exit polls track the polling of the last two weeks, with two major surprises. The first is the distribution of right wing seats: Likud stronger than expected (largest party, larger than Eisenkot by 2 seats), Ben Gvir and Smotrich smaller than expected. The other surprise, which some pollsters predict but most didn't, was that the two "Arab parties" have 18-20 seats, an unprecedented result (most polls predicted 14). For the first time ever we will have major Palestinian participation in the Knesset (larger than the Ultra Orthodox e.g.).

5. What are the options now? a. Minority government headed by Eisenkot b. Likud-Eisenkot "unity government" c. Eisenkot manages to lure some of Netanyahu's orbit to join his government d. deadlock and another round of elections. Netanyahu will try to push for "unity government" and may use another military escalation to make that argument. I think that's very unlikely. I also doubt Eisenkot's ability to convince any of Netanyahu's allies to switch sides. At least for now. Most likely outcome is a minority government. But it is unclear how long can such a government survive. Early elections are possible, but *all* of Netanyahu's rivals have nothing to gain from another round and everything to lose. So I think it's less likely, but still possible. These results do not provide the knock-out blow that will force Netanyahu to bow out of political life. He will likely keep fighting, even as head of the opposition.
 
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Ian H

Pharaoh
Netanyahu might be out, which is good. But don't hold your breath for any improvement in the situation of Palestinians.
 
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