Shít graphs

[briantrumpet]

Lots of people see the little raindrops on the weather app and assume that means definite rain. They fail to notice the % figure below which might, for instance, indicate 60% chance of rain. Anyway, they're scientists involved in various fields and they are all better than me at bringing back exactly what was ordered,

I've probably met one or two of a Wednesday at The Bridge.

But they'll have their separate areas of expertise, whether that's in the huuuuge computing aspect, or specific aspects like the science of gusts (apparently they are *really* hard to predict). I taught the son of someone once who had the splendid job title of 'Head of Climate'.

My main grumble (apart from the recent push to align the browser version of the graphic forecast with the phone app) is that they don't publish a confidence index for the graphic forecast (i.e. how well the models converge): in in France it's just on a scale of 1-4, where 4 is high confidence, which indicates high convergence. As it is, you need to watch the way the graphics change from day to day... if they keep on changing for the same day, you can guess they haven't too much of a clue what's going to happen in the specifics. I'd rather that they were up front if 'chaos' is making their job difficult.