I'm not confident that the seat will return to Tory at the next election.
I live in the constituency - yes, it was a protest vote, but to win the next election, the Conservatives must find a decent (local) candidate.
On the local Facebook forums in the region, folk are angry about 'local' issues; for example, the ambulance service that was based in Oswestry has been scrapped :
https://www.shropshirestar.com/news/health/2021/12...
On the radio this morning, the former leader of Shropshire Council spoke about how he had moved away from the Conservatives, in order to support Kirsty Walmsley (his daughter) - the Reform UK candidate. {Previously, he was a friend of Owen Paterson and someone who was firmly entrenched in Conservative politics in North Shropshire}. Losing what were previously core voters, will be a serious blow to the Conservative Party at a local level.
If Helen Morgan does a half-reasonable job in North Shropshire,
she might be hard to dislodge.