Reform, and the death of the Tory Party

[Shortfall]

I think the terms employment rising and immigration falling need better definition

I mean, immigration is falling, no?

Honestly I don't know. Let's say immigration "returns to historic norms or below".

 

[TailWindHome]

Honestly I don't know. Let's say immigration "returns to historic norms or below".

See, this where the Farage project could come unstuck very rapidly.
I'd suggest that a significant proportion of his 2x% polling would describe a historic norm of (lets say) 100k net immigration as a betrayal

 

[Bromptonaut]

I'm paying little (or no) attention to bookies or pollsters at this point.

Three weeks + out that maybe rational but bookies numbers by polling day have been pretty good predictors in recent elections.

 

[Beebo]

Honestly I don't know. Let's say immigration "returns to historic norms or below".

There is no such thing as an historic norm. We live in a global village now. International travel is very easy so migration is bound to be higher.

net migration fell to 204,000 in the year ending June 2025, down from a 2023 peak of 944,000.

Labour should be absolutely shouting about this. It’s what Reform voters wanted.

 

[briantrumpet]

There is no such thing as an historic norm. We live in a global village now. International travel is very easy so migration is bound to be higher.

net migration fell to 204,000 in the year ending June 2025, down from a 2023 peak of 944,000.

Labour should be absolutely shouting about this. It’s what Reform voters wanted.

Wait for the goalposts to move. They need something to be angry about. Maybe it'll be how landlords are going to be paupers and that house prices are easing off, so how are they going to leave a fortune to their children when they die?