According to the electoral calculus calculator this would result in a hung parliament. Reform would have to form a coalition with the Conservatives. That said, some of the entries in the calculator are just plain wrong:
National Prediction: Reform short 41 of majority
| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|
| CON | 24.4% | 121 | 16.0% | 12 | 76 | -64 | 57 |
| LAB | 34.7% | 412 | 16.0% | 0 | 384 | -384 | 28 |
| LIB | 12.6% | 72 | 14.0% | 8 | 2 | +6 | 78 |
| Reform | 14.7% | 5 | 23.0% | 280 | 0 | +280 | 285 |
| Green | 6.9% | 4 | 21.0% | 128 | 0 | +128 | 132 |
| SNP | 2.6% | 9 | 2.7% | 37 | 0 | +37 | 46 |
| PlaidC | 0.7% | 4 | 0.9% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| Other | 3.5% | 5 | 6.4% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| N.Ire | | 18 | | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |