Trump redux - predictions?

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AndyRM

Elder Goth
It will be interesting to see what he does with Ukraine and Israel.
He talks a good game but I suspect he’s got no idea how to actually solve either problem.

He doesn't have a clue how to do anything. He's an easily led and manipulated puppet who latches on to other people's ideas, talks sh!te about them and leaves others to figure out what the hell to do.
 
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Psamathe

Active Member
I predict that Mr Musk wont cut UK$2 trillion from the Government.

Actually, not so much my prediction as BBC's More or Less podcast analysis.

Yet again, just like Xitter valuation and costs, Mr Musk will be demonstrating his failure to get any grip of money and numbers.

Ian
 
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the snail

Active Member
https://bsky.app/profile/lepapillonblue.bsky.social/post/3lcbh7org5c2c
fyfxlqpr75wk3sdt563vrn4xgc7xd6d3huyj3smsvx4iy@jpeg.jpg
 
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Beebo

Guru
Biden has pardoned his son.
I’m not very happy with this as it sets poor precedent, but he probably felt he had little choice given Trump’s clear intent, to wage retribution against everyone.
 
They all do it. Obama's were probably the least controversial. Apparently the DOJ suggest a list and he didn't deviate much from it. Trump obviously, but Clinton also used his position to do some controversial personal favours. It's a thing I just don't see having a place in modern politics. It's like some throwback to a feudal monarchy.
 

BoldonLad

Old man on a bike. Not a member of a clique.
Location
South Tyneside
They all do it. Obama's were probably the least controversial. Apparently the DOJ suggest a list and he didn't deviate much from it. Trump obviously, but Clinton also used his position to do some controversial personal favours. It's a thing I just don't see having a place in modern politics. It's like some throwback to a feudal monarchy.

Similar to our "Honours List" ?
 

Psamathe

Active Member
Biden has pardoned his son.
I’m not very happy with this as it sets poor precedent, but he probably felt he had little choice given Trump’s clear intent, to wage retribution against everyone.
Particularly after he'd assured the American population that he wouldn't.

For me (not a US citizen nor resident) Biden is a massive disappointment. I suppose he kicked of his incompetence with his US departure from Afghanistan (and what that permitted to then happen).

He put himself forward as being expert at bringing people together, getting agreement between disagreeing parties ... and we've seen what that means in Israel & Gaza where he is ignored by Israel, just doing what they say ie pouring in vast qualtities of arms to enable the Israeli Government to devastate the innocent Palestinian citizens. His poodle behaviour was recently highlighted when he wrote an open letter requiring Israel to start allowing aid into Gaza *defined thresholds or reduction in arms supplies) ... Israel completely ignored it and carried on as before so Biden does nothing, like he never write the letter. Complete ineffectual poodle.

That said, I hold less hope for next President. Or maybe hope is that US being more isolationist in the long term is probably good but will mean short term damage and pain. ie I don't feel US dominance is good for the world but decline in that dominance will cause disruption so ideally as slow gradual change but I see Trump as making that change rapidly which will damage the US ans well as everybody else.

Ian
 

Psamathe

Active Member
Interesting report which I suspect is much much more significant that it might appear. My impression is Trump and his attitude to China has all the strategy of a bull in a china shop (think there's a pun in there). He [Trump] in his unthinking approach just assumes US is "all powerful" and rest of world just does what it's told. But

China has banned US exports of key minerals for computer chips – leaving Washington with limited options
China recently banned the export of the minerals gallium and germanium to the US amid growing tensions between the two countries on trade.

The minerals are of critical economic value because they are used in computer chips, in military technology such as night vision goggles, and in the renewable energy industry, where they are important for manufacturing electric vehicles and solar cells. All of these areas are very sensitive sectors for the US and EU.

China has overwhelming market power over supply, because it is the source of 98% of primary gallium and 91% of primary germanium. Primary refers to “raw” sources such as mineral ore. In several sectors where the minerals are used, there are no substitutes for them.
...
(from https://theconversation.com/china-h...eaving-washington-with-limited-options-246328)
Which I suspect might put China is a very powerful position and Trump's "do as I say" unthinking, absense of strategy approach has missed.

Still, maybe he'll be too busy de-nazifying and annexing Panama to even notice.

Ian
 

multitool

Pharaoh
And buying Greenland again.

Although it pains me to refer to Trump as anything other than execrable, he is showing some perspicacity here.

This is not the first time the US has expressed considerable interest in acquiring Greenland (remember they acquired Alaska from Russia), and with the melting ice caps and an emergent China with a blue water navy it is absolutely in America's strategic interest to secure the area north of its landmass and the searoutes that will become increasingly plausible.

The US will be pushed out of the western Pacific, eventually the Indian ocean and the Gulf. It needs to shore up its immediate environs.
 

Rusty Nails

Country Member
Although it pains me to refer to Trump as anything other than execrable, he is showing some perspicacity here.

This is not the first time the US has expressed considerable interest in acquiring Greenland (remember they acquired Alaska from Russia), and with the melting ice caps and an emergent China with a blue water navy it is absolutely in America's strategic interest to secure the area north of its landmass and the searoutes that will become increasingly plausible.

The US will be pushed out of the western Pacific, eventually the Indian ocean and the Gulf. It needs to shore up its immediate environs.

The world is definitely beginning to follow the theme of three areas at permanent war in Orwell's 1984.

Russia, US and China would all like a bit of Greenland.
 
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