War with Russia

[Pinno718]

The U.S. getting closer to admitting what we already know.

"The US has halted some weapons shipments to Kyiv, the White House has said, as Russia's war against Ukraine has intensified."

Well, we didn't honestly expect continued support for Ukraine under a morally corrupt self serving administration who's loyalties are questionable did we?
It's a good job the Europeans are stepping up their support.

If Putin is saying publicly that he's cutting defence spending it's because economically, he's in deep trouble. He's going to look like a toothless fool if he looses the war - which, I think is inevitable. Not only that, he will loose power.
The report from the source I quoted previously said that the Russians are pulling T62 tanks out of museums and storage and that due to internal corruption in military procurement/production, the more modern weaponry (which is running out) is substandard and unreliable. The T62's (easy reference: built in 1962 - think about that: 73 yr old tanks) are inept against drones, very slow, under protected and suck a lot of fuel. The Ukrainians captured a T72 tank which had anti-drone frequency jammers strapped to it with bits of rope.
Russia has lost 1m soldiers (combined death or injury) and the Russians are paying money hand over fist in compensation to families as a result. All part of the incentives to sign up including an initial $20,000 sign up fee.

Meanwhile, Ukraine hit an FSB building in Russia and an industrial site 800 miles into Russia:
https://abcnews.go.com/Internationa...-russian-plant-after-record-russian-123366038

Russia sent over 5000 drones into Ukraine in June.

 

[First Aspect]

When all this started we were told it would take about 3 years for sanctions to bite.

 

[Pinno718]

When all this started we were told it would take about 3 years for sanctions to bite.

Well that means we are in that timeframe.

Sanctions timeline (and the EU is adding more)

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/...nst-russia/timeline-sanctions-against-russia/

 

[First Aspect]

Unfortunately, the US is likely to remove theirs. I could totally see them using Russia as a source of cheap oil to offset policy fuxk ups in the middle east and domestically. It will all be about US domestic inflation.

 

[Pblakeney]

Unfortunately, the US is likely to remove theirs. I could totally see them using Russia as a source of cheap oil to offset policy fuxk ups in the middle east and domestically. It will all be about US domestic inflation.

Unfortunately I agree.
All the signs have been there since January.

 

[briantrumpet]

Unfortunately I agree.
All the signs have been there since January.

I think we can all be like PB in this instance.

If Europe can't make a meaningful difference as the US reduces support, it's hard to see Ukraine keeping the bear at bay in perpetuity.

 

[Pinno718]

I think we can all be like PB in this instance.

View attachment 8897

If Europe can't make a meaningful difference as the US reduces support, it's hard to see Ukraine keeping the bear at bay in perpetuity.

This is wrong based on the stuff I have been reading and looking at. Russia is struggling to finance the war. They are struggling to enlist personnel. The Ukrainians continue to wreak damage on very expensive Russian infrastructure and equipment. Putin has failed to gain any meaningful territory, the EU and the UK continue to supply arms (and probably intelligence) and sanctions are increasing.
Sure, there's been talk of financial pressure and Russians weakening economy for a while now but there's now reams and reams of speculation which I think cannot all be propaganda.
Russia lost an ally in Syria and Iran hasn't been making the right noises since it entered into conflict with Israel.
Morale in Russian troops is very low. There are reports of cannibalism and troops who refuse to fight on the front line being tortured and/or executed. Times Radio, The Daily Beast and other military pundits have been discussing this.
There is no way that Putin would publicly state that he is planning to reduce defence spending if there wasn't serious internal pressure regarding what has ostensibly been a failed attempt to invade Ukraine.
I'm sorry if I don't agree with your pessimistic view.

https://www.businessinsider.com/rus...g-signs-recession-war-growth-sanctions-2025-7

[Le Monde] https://www.lemonde.fr/en/internati...esertion-was-the-only-solution_6741622_4.html

 

[Pinno718]

Ukrainian drones hit Russian anti-aircraft missile complexes, drone manufacturing plant​

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2025/0...-in-izhevsk-killing-three-and-injuring-dozens

 

[Pblakeney]

U.S. cutting the supply of weapons and there being reason for optimism can both be true.
Cutting the supply of weapons dulls that optimism somewhat. Now is the time to go hard.

 

[Ian H]

...Now is the time to go hard.

They do say that war is an aphrodisiac.

 

[Pblakeney]

They do say that war is an aphrodisiac.

Telling that your mind went there. 🤣

 

[icowden]

They do say that war is an aphrodisiac.

I hear they don't like it up em!

 

[Pinno718]

Ukraine has assassinated 2 Russian generals today.
Yaroslav Moskalik, Chief of staff and commander of the Black sea fleet and
Alexey Kornkov, an FSB head by a car bomb in central Moscow.
There are unconfirmed reports of a 3rd - Ilar Akamatov, Admiral.

 

[Pinno718]

Meanwhile, the Germans are stopping Russians 'shadow fleet' and inspecting the vessels to make sure that they are going to and from where they are supposed to be going and not going 'under the radar' of sanctions. They have the power to seize control over the vessels and the crew. This will cause problems in Russia's black market.
But Trump has lifted certain sanctions on Russia including those on some banks.

 

[Pinno718]

I hear they don't like it up em!

Old one's are the best.