In the absence of anti missiles ordnance, Ukraine is striking the machinery and vessels that delivers them. The Russian ship bingo board is quite a collection.
Over the last few days, the Ukrainian forces seem to be targeting more ships in a new campaign.
I haven't updated in a few days but:
- Another 3 Wildberries warehouses have gone up in smoke. 15 major warehouses destroyed, a few minor one's that are not big enough for the bingo board plus 3 other major warehouses damaged. This poses major problems for the VTB bank who are the main funders (debt managers) of Wildberries. [Moscow Times] Sellers who have successfully sold items are complaining about not being paid as VTB act as a 3rd party and hold funds until verified completion of sale. Bankruptcy looms.
- Fuel queues in Russia have returned after a brief respite. Russia has been buying fuel from Kazakhstan and India but simultaneously, reducing the quality of domestically produced distillates. This low quality fuel is damaging engines. For the dissenters: Russia used to produce 12.6% of global production of oil and is now importing!?
- Oil refineries/storage and transportation continues to be struck
- Ukraine is developing it's own anti-ballistic missile but it won't be ready for testing until May 27 (although this could be a slight fudge and it's more imminent)
- Ukraine has developed the FP-9. This is a cruise missile with a range of up to 850km's but can carry a payload of 800 kg's. This represents a huge shift in destructive capability. There are no air defences in Russia currently that can stop it - it's too fast.
- Poland agrees to hand over a small number of patriot missiles in the immediate.
- Zelensky is vowing to hit Russia's assets as hard as possible before winter.
- Clean water is mixing with sewerage and dead carcasses in Russia [Meduza] Major infrastructure failures, extreme flooding, and systemic neglect have caused raw sewage, agricultural runoff, and animal carcasses to contaminate public water systems in several Russian cities. The most severe recent incident occurred in the Siberian oil capital of Tyumen, where the municipal water supply mixed with heavily polluted river water containing raw sewage and rotting livestock carcasses. To the extent that people are leaving Tyumen.
View: https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/2086356406043611244
- Putin pays North Korean women to work in drone factories. They are at risk and will earn the equivalent of $5.71ph as the Russian's are very short of manpower. These North Koreans will learn skills that will be transferred back to NK but also, will come into contact with smart phones, the internet and the West in that process. That information will be taken back with them to NK. Maybe the seeds will get sowed... Interesting manifestation in the future.
- Grain exports down 71% since Ukraine's campaign against shipping. Agriculture and grain exports make a large part of Russia's GDP. Grain is too expensive with no buyers and is being left in the fields. It is also hard to get fuel to harvest and the cost of fuel outweighs the value of the grain. This is 1993 repeating itself. Farmers can only sell at a loss. Food shortages are already hitting but the full extent won't be realised for some time. A lot of countries rely in imports of Russian grain.
- Ukraine liberates 26 villages in occupied territories but don't get too excited, they are empty and it was a Ukrainian flag waving exercise to poke the Russians.
- Russian personnel losses about to hit 1.5m
To summarise, Russia's economy is struggling under the weight of the economic sanctions by the destruction of her assets wielded by Ukraine. The long term cost for Russia is immeasurable - from the years of neglected infrastructure investment to the destruction of it's military and manufacturing capabilities. However, it's still clinging on and it's managing to throw missiles at Kyiv. Russia is not winning this war but the latency of cost has yet to really kick in. Putin's election mandate to mobilise X number of people in a push 'for victory' looks increasingly forlorn. These poor souls will be sent to the frontline on very limited training without adequate back up, fuel, food, weaponry, satellite backing, body armour, logistical support and will just be massacred. There's not a snowflakes chance in hell Ukraine is not preparing drones in anticipation of a wave. It really is a last ditch and desperate effort by Putin. We continue to hope that the weight of the war on Russia's resources reaches critical mass soon.