War with Russia

[matticus]

View attachment 14735

To be fair to the defeated Russian troops, that is a VERY realistic robot!

 

[dutchguylivingintheuk]

To be fair to the defeated Russian troops, that is a VERY realistic robot!

And Russia's still not much adapted(compared to the beginning of the war) fighting style it is very ineffective against robots. It relies on Stalin doctrine where the lives of individual soldiers are replaceable/part of strategy. It relies on sending in so many soldiers they overrun positions. So if you have either enough robots or just enough capacity or both, it really doesn't matter how much men you send to their deaths. In this new age western doctrine based upon getting as much as possible control on the battle field whilst avoiding casaulties as much as possible, clearly wins out, Ukraine shows it has learned and can adapt to this.

 

[BoldonLad]

Russia is in deep, deep sh*t. Putin is too much of an @rse to do a U turn and possesses no humanity, so would never consider giving up this conflict.
Russians are now openly criticising him and the mess the Russian economy is in, whereas before, dissent would almost guarantee arrest and possible imprisonment.
Bankruptcy's are through the roof, an estimated 37% of business portfolio's have bad debt.

Tuapse is burning. Tuapse and the locale is the Russian riviera (you can add Sochi). The Tuapse oil depot exports 4% of Russian oil. It's on fire. It has been burning for over 7 days. (an environmental disaster). Burnt and semi burnt oil is raining on Tuapse, covering everything in a sticky black substance.

Floods always hit Russia this time of year but as infrastructure spending gets syphoned off and war funding demands increase, it's just collapsing. The extra cold winter has caused even bigger floods and bridges have collapsed, streets are flooded (often mixed with sewerage) . The 'recycling tax' was increased by Putin's govt. and yet there are pictures of waste piling up.

Russia lost between 600,000 to 1m people who fled in 2022. They have lost 1.4m to death or injury in a country with an already had a declining population.
The economy, according to one state official, standing in his local parliament/council said that a repeat of 1917 will happen by Autumn this year if things continue to get worse.

Have a watch of the YT video's by Jake Broe or Jay in Kyiv (who reference their commentary with images and press) and the outlook for Russia is bleak both long and short term.

Interestingly, there was a report on BBC News, this evening, claiming that Ukrainians are killing 30,000 Russian Soldiers per month with drones, plus, video of burning oil refineries.

 

[Beebo]

Russia is in deep, deep sh*t. Putin is too much of an @rse to do a U turn and possesses no humanity, so would never consider giving up this conflict.
Russians are now openly criticising him and the mess the Russian economy is in, whereas before, dissent would almost guarantee arrest and possible imprisonment.
Bankruptcy's are through the roof, an estimated 37% of business portfolio's have bad debt.

Tuapse is burning. Tuapse and the locale is the Russian riviera (you can add Sochi). The Tuapse oil depot exports 4% of Russian oil. It's on fire. It has been burning for over 7 days. (an environmental disaster). Burnt and semi burnt oil is raining on Tuapse, covering everything in a sticky black substance.

Floods always hit Russia this time of year but as infrastructure spending gets syphoned off and war funding demands increase, it's just collapsing. The extra cold winter has caused even bigger floods and bridges have collapsed, streets are flooded (often mixed with sewerage) . The 'recycling tax' was increased by Putin's govt. and yet there are pictures of waste piling up.

Russia lost between 600,000 to 1m people who fled in 2022. They have lost 1.4m to death or injury in a country with an already had a declining population.
The economy, according to one state official, standing in his local parliament/council said that a repeat of 1917 will happen by Autumn this year if things continue to get worse.

Have a watch of the YT video's by Jake Broe or Jay in Kyiv (who reference their commentary with images and press) and the outlook for Russia is bleak both long and short term.

Yet Trump is going to invite Putin to the G20.

 

[briantrumpet]

Interestingly, there was a report on BBC News, this evening, claiming that Ukrainians are killing 30,000 Russian Soldiers per month with drones, plus, video of burning oil refineries.

My suspicion is that Ukraine might be gaining the upper hand, but is quite happy for this to happen a bit 'under the radar' for now, just slowly but surely weakening the Ruskies' hold on occupied territories. It makes me wonder if they would like to keep on doing this until they make some big public 'booms' in places like Crimea and the Kherson bridge at a time when Russia has no reserve firepower or economic reserve left to fight back. And all done without any help whatsoever from Trump. It's a pretty impressive act of self-sabotage from Trump of making the US irrelevant.

 

[Pblakeney]

Yet Trump is going to invite Putin to the G20.

While Putin is helping Iran fight the US.
3D chess right enough.

 

[Pinno718]

My suspicion is that Ukraine might be gaining the upper hand, but is quite happy for this to happen a bit 'under the radar' for now, just slowly but surely weakening the Ruskies' hold on occupied territories. It makes me wonder if they would like to keep on doing this until they make some big public 'booms' in places like Crimea and the Kherson bridge at a time when Russia has no reserve firepower or economic reserve left to fight back. And all done without any help whatsoever from Trump. It's a pretty impressive act of self-sabotage from Trump of making the US irrelevant.

You ought to keep up at the back.
The last significant air defence system was taken out in Crimea.
I get the feeling that the Kherson bridge is being left alone as it is a handy crossing for the Ukrainians.
Fedorov wanted to take out 45,000 soldiers per month. That desire was publicly announced when he got the job in January (IIRC).
There is zero chance Russia will make any territorial gains now.

Ukraine's current efforts are air defence systems, military storage, manufacturing facilities and of course, the cash machines - oil storage, production and transport. There are screeds of video's of oil freight containers going boom. Unlike Hollywood, the containers do not ignite the adjacent container, so they are being taken out one by one. A lot of them are sitting ducks because hey have no where to go. Most of the vehicles are being destroyed by drones and the demand for fuel on the front line is down as a result. Plus the rail system is in massive debt and often fails without any help from Ukrainian drones or internal saboteurs.

Sadly, even through Russian air defences are in such a bad shape (they are even running out of air defence missiles) that Ukraine is hitting most targets without resistance it's becoming that easy but Russia is still lobbing missiles into civilian areas. On Saturday night 18 injured 3 killed in a block of flats in Kyiv.

 

[Pinno718]

Russian bloggers openly criticise Putin as the only air defences left in Crimea are the one's protecting his recently built $1.4m palace.

 

[briantrumpet]

Russian bloggers openly criticise Putin as the only air defences left in Crimea are the one's protecting his recently built $1.4m palace.

Does it have a ballroom and bunker though?

 

[First Aspect]

Does it have a ballroom and bunker though?

I suspect it has a bunker.

 

[briantrumpet]

I suspect it has a bunker.

He needs somewhere where he can hold his balls.

 

[PurplePenguin]

Russian bloggers openly criticise Putin as the only air defences left in Crimea are the one's protecting his recently built $1.4m palace.

$1.4m and a palace?

 

[briantrumpet]

$1.4m and a palace?

Just like Grimsby.

 

[All uphill]

$1.4m and a palace?

I think it was 1.4bn, but what's a few zeroes between friends?

 

[UglyWithaSidePart]

This all feels rather tipping pointish, doesn't it? Army being reduced in size quicker than they can recruit, man/woman on the street feeling more confident in expressing doubt, newspapers publishing bad news, oil refineries on fire, SAM sites almost non-existent.

I think not only can Russia not win this war, it seems to me it's time for another breakup. They do tend to do it from time to time.