To answer your question more properly, I guess I was noticing the trends in public opinion that others were not necessarily as aware of.
View attachment 11118
View attachment 11117
The first image shows that both Reform and Conservatives have recently more or less flatlined in their support, and that the trend line shows one to be a mirror of the other. This susggests that the shift in support from Tory to Reform looks to be about complete.
On the other hand the trend lines for this year for Labour and Greens, showing a more or less mirror image shift from one to the other, in party presumably latterly because of the Polanski bounce. While any anomalies might be accounted for by a filtering effect of the Lib Dems.
The second image polling shows that the UK public now place less value on the special relationship that they think looks increasingly hostile towards the UK and Europe.
Also in the news this week, is the fact that net British migration patterns are different from what was expected with a significant increase.
Now you might reasonably argue that what maybe coincidence is not necessarily causation, and I'm happy with that caveat as far as discussion points go. However in the absence of competing theories, I'm tempted to go with that in the meantime.
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html
https://yougov.co.uk/international/...-that-the-us-is-a-friend-to-the-uk-and-europe
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm2emzjre62o