War with Russia

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briantrumpet

Timewaster
Some people speculating that Ukraine is making it obvious that it's softening up the conditions to destroy the Kerch bridge, but leaving it open long enough for Russians to use it to leave.
 

Pinno718

Legendary Member
It’s not all going Ukraine’s way.
BBC reporting a build up of Russian troops in Donbas.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9w2g0ewk95o

The Russians have been planning a big push for months. The Ukrainians know and are therefore prepared. It will be carnage I expect with many many Russian troops dying. The mere fact that this hasn't been concealed is telling.

According to that report, there's only 130 Russian troops in Kostyantynivka.

Rather like the German spring offensive in 1918 which broke through the Western front at a number of points but supply logistics could not keep up with the advance and eventually, it collapsed.. I expect the same and I expect Russian vehicles and fuel will be prime targets for the foreseeable.
 
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briantrumpet

Timewaster
Phillips O'Brien again...

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https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/turning-crimea-from-an-asset-into
 

Pinno718

Legendary Member
This is the remnants of the Krasnodar oil refinery:

uk0138.jpg


  • The 2 fuel storage depots hit near the Kerch bridge are at ports for supplying fuel to shipping
  • Last vehicle ferry that services vehicles from Crimea hit
  • [Moscow Times} More forced conscriptions reported in Penza. You're signing a contract and rhat's that
  • Zelensky confirms strike on Tyumen oil refinery, 2000km's from Ukraine
  • New drone in the pipeline will have a reach of 3000km's
  • Captured Russian military equipment has been dissected and results published.

    uk140.jpeg
  • Russian Pantsir defence missile confirmed as the article that blew the lid off a fuel storage tank, It's becoming one of the most 'memed' events and personally, I can't get enough of it
    uk141.jpeg
  • For pure shitz n giggles:
    uk142.jpeg
  • After Zelensky's warning to Lukashenko, this is interesting:
    uk143.jpeg
  • Russia's Central Bank 'slashes' (?!) borrowing rates at 14.24% (against Elvira Sakhipzadovna Nabiullina's advice) as Putin is becoming more desperate tot lower the cost of war
  • Polish President (sympathetic to Russia) strips Zelensky of an order of White Eagle merit!? However, this is quickly backfiring as Zelensky and many others are returning their medals of honour:

uk144.jpeg


uk145.jpeg
 

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briantrumpet

Timewaster
I see more drones are heading towards Crimea and Russian routes to it tonight - I guess that Ukraine is trying to drive the message home for Russians to leave, as well as taking out strategic defence and other infrastructure. I suspect they are planning something significant this summer, in the hope of tipping Putin into 'finding reasons' to stop the war.

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Pinno718

Legendary Member
uk0147.jpeg
 

briantrumpet

Timewaster

I'm guessing that Ukraine is not just testing air defences and knocking expensive and useful stuff out, but also trying to get Russia to divert defensive equipment away from Crimea and other occupied territories. I suspect that if they had still been using US hardware, Trump would have been holding them back by not giving permission: it really does seem like they can hit pretty much anything with a fair degree of precision now, deep into Russia.
 

Pinno718

Legendary Member
I'm guessing that Ukraine is not just testing air defences and knocking expensive and useful stuff out, but also trying to get Russia to divert defensive equipment away from Crimea and other occupied territories. I suspect that if they had still been using US hardware, Trump would have been holding them back by not giving permission: it really does seem like they can hit pretty much anything with a fair degree of precision now, deep into Russia.

To cut a long and very colourful post by the Boss of Magyar's Birds: Robert Magyar Brovdi, he sees Crimea's occupation collapse as the point the Russian Regime collapses. He's offering the Russian settlers the chance to get out - all 1m of them.
Meanwhile, Putin continues to put air defences on the top of apartment blocks in Moscow as he withdraws air defence systems from all over Russia thereby leaving critical oil and manufacturing infrastructure even more vulnerable than they were before whilst putting the civilian lives in those blocks at huge risk. There is only 1 life Putin cares for and it's his own.
 
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briantrumpet

Timewaster
To cut a long and very colourful post by the Boss of Magyar's Birds: Robert Magyar Brovdi, he sees Crimea's occupation collapse as the point the Russian Regime collapses. He's offering the Russian settlers the chance to get out - all 1m of them.
Meanwhile, Putin continues to put air defences on the top of apartment blocks in Moscow as he withdraws air defence systems from all over Russia thereby leaving critical oil and manufacturing infrastructure even more vulnerable than they were before whilst putting the civilian lives in those blocks at huge risk. There is only 1 life Putin cares for and it's his own.

I think that's what I just said, give or take.
 
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