briantrumpet
Well-Known Member
The Belfast/Good Friday Agreement does not need a super majority nor did the Scottish referendum. Which bit of damage are you trying to solve?
This seems fairly balanced:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cdrynjz1glpo
But the working assumption of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), external, the government's independent official forecaster, is still that Brexit in the long-term will reduce exports and imports of goods and services by 15% relative to otherwise. It has held this view since 2016, including under the previous Government.
And the OBR's other working assumption is that the fall in trade relative to otherwise will reduce the long-term size of the UK economy by around 4% relative to otherwise, equivalent to roughly £100bn in today's money.