Sorry to undermine that achingly condescending little snark, but you evidently misunderstand my comment. Possibly wilfully.
The SNP absolutely
won't win a majority. Statistically the freak 2011 vote was apparently a 0.5% probability, and a consequence of voting patterns that are pretty much the opposite of the idiotic SNP 1&2 that Swinney, the Toothless Labrador Of Scottish Independence is pushing as his genius strategy. The political climate & landscape in which that result happened was wildly different to the present day.
Next year, once the anti-SNP election machine swings into febrile action, their current fragile popularity will be bludgeoned back down just as it was in June last year, aided by one final, dying convulsion of Operation Branchform in the shape of Peter Murrell's incredibly high-profile trial which will be all over every Scottish paper, news bulletin & Unionist social media account in the weeks before the election.
I think they'll be lucky to cling on to Holyrood, maybe propped up by the Greens if enough people are sane enough to vote SNP 1, Green 2 - but there's a strong possibility of First Minister Anas Sarwar, backed by a bunch of Labour, Tory & Reform list grifters, all banding together to 'keep the Nats out', much as Labour & Tories like to do in various Scottish councils.
And of course these are all the proverbial turkeys voting for Christmas, parties who would all like to see the back of Holyrood - Labour call it 'Blair's Biggest Mistake', and it continues to be a massive thorn in their side in many different ways. Reform & the Tories are specifically Anglocentric parties, both of which are pushing to take the UK out of the ECHR - which inconveniently underpins Scotland's devolution settlement. In the event the SNP did manage to form a government, Reform winning Westminster a couple of years later means devolution, and Holyrood with it, could be voted away in an afternoon. Particularly if Farage is looking at Trump as an example of how 'democracy' should be exercised.
And while we're mentioning that ephemeral and increasingly absurd concept - if that 1 in 200 chance of an SNP overall majority
does come off - what then? Swinney's convinced himself - or is pretending he has - that Starmer will be forced to concede a referendum. This is, unfortunately delusional, gaslighting boll
ocks. Starmer's repeatedly been adamant that there are no circumstances whatsoever under which he will grant a Section 30 order for a referendum. So he'll just say no again. And again. And again.
There are some increasingly desperate Indy supporters who claim that the decision of a UK PM 15 years ago, following that freak Holyrood result, establishes some sort of legal precedent - it'll be a nasty shock for them when they find out about that principle of UK parliamentary sovereignty which says no government is bound by the actions or legislation of a previous one.
So there'll be no Holyrood majority, no second independence referendum - and in the timeline we appear to have slipped into, no Scottish Parliament in a few years if the bastards get their way.
I hope that clears that up.
