This is a summary of the average of polling results from five different organisations over the past 20 months. Other than an increase in support for independence around the time of the UK government decision not to allow a second referendum, which has now been reversed (the increase not the decision), to my untrained eyes it seems a pretty unchanging picture, but still a greater level of support than that shown in IndyRef1. Trends in polls are much more relevant than one-off results which can be affected too much by the current news.
It will be interesting to see the polls once she has stepped down and the leadership battle begins.
I would not be surprised if, as well as all the hard work she has put herself through over the years being virtually
the face of Scottish Independence, some disillusionment over the lack of a breakthrough in support has contributed to her decision.
Date | Yes | No | Don't Know |
---|
Jan 26, 2023 | 45.6% | 46% | 8% |
Jan 18, 2023 | 46.6% | 45% | 7.4% |
Jan 12, 2023 | 46.6% | 44.8% | 8% |
Dec 21, 2022 | 49% | 43.8% | 6.6% |
Dec 16, 2022 | 50% | 43.6% | 5.8% |
Dec 9, 2022 | 49.4% | 44.4% | 5.6% |
Dec 8, 2022 | 49.2% | 45.2% | 5.2% |
Dec 5, 2022 | 48% | 46% | 5.4% |
Nov 27, 2022 | 46.4% | 46.8% | 6.2% |
Oct 11, 2022 | 45.8% | 47.4% | 6.4% |
Oct 7, 2022 | 46.2% | 47% | 6.4% |
Oct 4, 2022 | 45.6% | 46.8% | 7.2% |
Aug 19, 2022 | 44.6% | 47.2% | 8.2% |
Jul 1, 2022 | 44.4% | 47% | 8.4% |
Jun 28, 2022 | 44.2% | 47.4% | 8.4% |
May 29, 2022 | 44% | 48% | 8% |
May 23, 2022 | 43.4% | 48.2% | 8.6%for the |
May 3, 2022 | 44.2% | 48.2% | 7.6% |
Apr 29, 2022 | 44.2% | 48% | 7.8% |
Mar 31, 2022 | 44% | 47.6% | 8.2% |
Mar 28, 2022 | 44.2% | 46.4% | 8.2% |
Mar 16, 2022 | 45% | 46.4% | 8.4% |
Feb 28, 2022 | 46.6% | 45.2% | 7.8% |
Feb 4, 2022 | 46% | 45.6% | 8% |
Jan 18, 2022 | 45.8% | 45.6% | 8.2% |
Dec 22, 2021 | 45.6% | 46% | 8% |
Nov 29, 2021 | 45.6% | 47.2% | 6.6% |
Nov 22, 2021 | 44% | 48% | 7.6% |
Nov 12, 2021 | 44.6% | 48.2% | 7% |
Oct 28, 2021 | 44.6% | 48.4% | 6.8% |
Oct 26, 2021 | 44.8% | 47.6% | 7.6% |
Sep 18, 2021 | 45% | 47.4% | 7.8% |
Sep 10, 2021 | 45% | 47.7% | 7.8% |
Sep 9, 2021 | 45% | 47.2% | 8% |
Sep 8, 2021 | 44.6% | 47.4% | 8.2% |
Aug 5, 2021 | 44.6% | 48.2% | 7.2% |
Jun 24, 2021 | 44.4% | 48% | 7.4% |
May 14, 2021 | 43.8% | 48.4% | 7.6% |
May 8, 2021 | 44.6% | 48% | 7.2% |