The Economist doesn't think the Russian economy is in melt-down yet.
In 2023 and 2024 Russia’s economy boomed. Despite the implementation of Western sanctions after Russia invaded Ukraine, the country sold plenty of hydrocarbons to willing buyers, including China and India. The government massively boosted spending on welfare, infrastructure and the armed forces. In 2024 the economy grew by more than 4%, a fantastic performance by the standards of most big economies.
Figures published on Friday will show a different picture. They are expected to confirm growth of a mere 0.6% in the third quarter of 2025. Data on net exports will also look unimpressive. Why the turnaround? Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin, has taken his foot off the accelerator when it comes to spending. High interest rates, which the central bank implemented to ward off inflation, are biting. Western sanctions may be starting to hurt too. The Russian economy is not in crisis. But the party days are over.