stowie
Active Member
Your comment suggests you have been brainwashed regarding the Taiwan - China relationship.
Thankfully/hopefully, signs are the Taiwanese are not as stupid, and have learnt from the Ukrainians. They gave Tsai's "confront China" Party an unexpected drubbing since in local elections.
They gave the DPP a surprise loss last year. The presidential elections next year looks very close.
But assuming that KMT will automatically focus attention on China at the expense of the US is misguided. KMT looks like it is adjusting its position to align with Taiwan mainstream opinion for the 2024 election. Polling gives all pro-unification options (now or later) sitting around 7% . That stance is not a vote winner.
China's actions in Hong-Kong has killed any "1 country, 2 system" approach with Taiwan's voters. I think both KMT and DPP will look towards maintaining the existing ambiguous status-quo rather than radical changes in approach, although the nuance of the rhetoric may soften towards China with the KMT.
I hear highly pessimistic expectations of a China invasion in the next few years of Taiwan within the industry I work in, but I feel that China executive isn't Putin - it is far, far cleverer than that and so am optimistic. It cannot be overstated the impact of a China invasion - Taiwan is central to almost all industries. It produces 55% of all semiconductors and the vast majority of high performance chips. The world economic effects of a China invasion and TSMC shutdown is huge. It isn't just the national interest of the US at stake here, it is the national interest of every country that operates a military and integrated national infrastructure. Which is pretty much all of them.