None of that makes sense. You do realise that Farage is not a Conservative MP?
Yes, I knew that, i gave the example as Farage because poeple vote for hIm for his name first and his policies second.
That's why he scored with the Ukip too at the time. As soon as he jumped ship Ukip plummeted and surely there might be some additional factors but still.
He ended up with lots of votes because people didn't want to vote Conservative. People therefore chose either the person most likely to win in their area or an extremist group. In either eventuality, every vote for an extremist who couldn't win ended up being a vote for the person most likely to win against the Tory candidate by ensuring that the Tory got fewer votes.
I'm pretty sure tht if you look as those voted impact researches that Farage is very high in those rankings and that Farage joining any party has already and certain Farage effect on it's own. And yes of course it helped Farage looked at the thinks tory voters are discontent with and put those points in his programme.
Does not take away that the likes of Farage, Boris Johnson, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton all have a certain appeal to voters no matter whom they would be backing.
In my constituency John Copy (Tory) got 16,312 votes. If Reform hadn't stood he would likely have got 21,000 votes. Still not enough to beat the LIb Dem who got 28,315 votes but very few voted for Starmer's Labour party (1396 votes). What we saw across the country was not Labour votes rising but people who would have voted Tory voting for Reform, thus making it easier for more liberal candidates to win.
As a second illustration consider Spelthorne. Lincoln Jopp (Tory) won with 14,038 votes. Labour came second with 12,448. However Labour would have won if the LIb Dems had stood down as they took 8,710 votes. Meanwhile Jopp's win would have been far less marginal if Reform hadn't taken 8,284 votes away from the Tories. If you look at the 2019 numbers, the Conservatives took 29,141 votes and Labour 10,748. So a very small increase of 2000 votes for Labour. Lb Dems had 7499 votes so a small increase for the Lib Dems. Reform didn't stand.
Which to me shows the system not really working, because of people vote Reform, green or whatever isn't one of the two main contenders, they did not vote their the two main contenders are so if one of the other contenders drops out their votes should be nullified in my view.
Imagine you bought a house. You made lots of promises about what you would do when you moved in. Unfortunately when you got the keys, went into the lounge and got the floorboards lifted to so some much needed renovation you discovered a massive sinkhole under the house.
In which case there are laws and legal proceedings that can help me get justice compensation, unless the court rules i should have seen it.
Liz Truss was the sinkhole. The Conservatives deliberately hid figures from the Office for Budget Responsibility. In our analogy the sinkhole carefully hidden from the surveyor. Reeves had no idea that there was a massive finance hole until the day she took the role as Chancellor. All the pre-job briefings had hidden it.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/jeremy-hunt-treasury-black-hole-budget-b2641914.html
I remember the Tories saying similar things when they took over from Labour last time, hell they even used it again this election. But similar as in our house example above there should be consequences for any chancellor who does things like this to deliberately hide documents financial blackholes etc.
The Conservatives deliberately broke the law to hide the black hole. Thus Labour is having to row back on promises. I'm no fan of Reeves but I can understand why the Government is unable to fulfil promises and is having to make some hard financial decisions. Some of them (e.g. winter fuel payments) could have been done better of course.
Then the Conservatives should be held accountable because now it just seems to be a game when the conversatives win, they claim labour farked up the last budget when labour wins its the other way around. And the people? they are scr*wed over anyway, and then they wonder why so many people don't trust politics. They all claim to be there for the people but time and time again they turn out to be for themselves.
Still not committing to a promise you made for years is a choice, and it's is my point that it is not a very good one. It would have been better if they took the money from the list of very rich Tory sponsors for example.