Obr forecast that brexit would damage UK trade are
unfounded https://www.telegraph.co.uk/busines...asts-brexit-damage-uk-eu-trade-unfounded-iea/
so one of the key arguments turns out to be a false narrative..
You didn't spot the deliberate bias did you?
The IEA report focuses solely on exports. So the stuff we are exporting we still export, and in some areas we have exported more despite additional paperwork and costs. Weirdly the EU don't mind importing stuff that is compliant with EU rules. It also fails to acknowledge that EU trade rules remained in place until 2021 fails to taken into account that "the long run" doesn't start until
after a full Brexit, and mentioneds but tries to gloss over that the UK government capitulated and signed the TCA which effectively extends free trade for a bit.
Measurements of trade go from 2019 to 2022
The report makes no mention of
imports however.
Here is a study that does from the LSE rather than a Conservative run think tank:-
https://www.just-food.com/news/brexit-trade-barriers-on-food-have-cost-uk-billions-report/?cf-view
The IEA report is right in part - but it's
despite Brexit. There is no doubt that many small companies have stopped or reduced trading with the EU and vice versa, and no doubt that Brexit has cost the country massively.
