Listening to podcasts this morning and an interesting and concerning thought. I consider Putin has demonstrated the limitations of Russian military and thus would never attack a NATO country as if he's struggling in Ukraine, taking on the NATO "Collective defence" would be a non-starter.
But worrying thought is Trump and if Trump starts weakening NATO of suggesting he'd not honour the Collective defence, then Putin might take the opportunity to attack a Baltic country is see which NATO members would actually honour their obligations. Maybe an initial small attack to test the response before deciding about further territory grabs.
Not suggesting I think it would happen, just maybe the risks are now higher than I'd previously thought.
Ian